ANC may take 61% of votes in 2019 elections: Ipsos

File: The Centre for Development and Enterprise says voters should go beyond the political party campaign promises.

JOHANNESBURG - An Ipsos survey shows 61 percent of registered voters are likely to vote for the ANC in the 2019 poll.

In the latest opinion poll ahead of the election on 8 May, Ipsos predicts the DA will clinch 16% of the national vote, followed by the EFF at 9%.

The FF+ and the IFP will get 1% respectively, the poll said.

READ: IEC welcomes election date

The poll, however, noted that “The voters’ roll compiled by the IEC contains 26,774,102 names of South Africans who are registered to vote, meaning that more than 10 million South Africans of voting age have chosen not to register and therefore not to vote in this election.”

“This can probably be attributed to the facts that of all South Africans eligible to vote, a quarter (25%) are not interested in politics and elections and almost four in every ten (38%) say that there is no political party expressing their views.”

“11% of registered voters answered that they would not vote, would not vote for a current party, refused to answer or didn’t know which party they would vote for,” Ipsos said.

The ANC scored well on the trust index.

“If we only take these trust indices into account, it seems as if the ANC is improving their position amongst voters, while the DA and the EFF still have issues to convince bigger proportions of voters to support them. The picture differs dramatically when looking at the levels of trust supporters of the different parties have in their own party of choice,” the poll said.

In 2014, the ANC received 62 %, DA 22 % and the EFF 6 % of the national vote.

Ipsos on political leaders trust

According to Ipsos, Political leadership plays a big part in the image and standing of a political party in the eyes of voters. The table below compares the trust in leaders among all registered voters with the trust that the supporters of a political party place in that party’s leader.

Ipsos
Source
eNCA