POLLS: DA ahead in three cities


This graphic shows results from week three of the eNCA poll on political party choice in the city of Tshwane.

* For your full guide to the 2016 municipal elections, click here.

JOHANNESBURG - The latest Ipsos-eNCA poll*, shows that the Democratic Alliance (DA) has moved ahead of the African National Congress (ANC) in the Tshwane, Johannesburg and Nelson Mandela Bay metros.

In Tshwane, 36 percent said they will vote DA, and 27 percent said the ANC.

In Nelson Mandela Bay, 37 percent will vote DA and 27 percent ANC.

In Johannesburg, 32 percent of voters said they will choose the DA, and 31 percent chose the ANC.

The EFF polled 9 percent in all three cities.

The results showed that no party is likely to take a majority in the August 3rd polls, ushering in a new era of coalition governments in three major cities.

What impact did the unrest in Tshwane have?

This week&39;s survey took place on Monday and Tuesday, so the impact of the Tshwane unrest isn’t immediately clear. Results next week, may reflect the anti-Thoko Didiza protests.

Support for the ANC dropped by one percentage point whereas support for the DA increased by three percentage points. The number of people who didn&39;t know or refused to say remained the same as last week at 18 percent.

Negative sentiment for the ANC increased in Tshwane by 3 percentage points. Positive sentiment also decreased by 3 percentage points to 33 percent.

Who are South Africa&39;s most popular leaders?

This week, Ipsos also asked respondents to rate prominent South African leaders out of ten. The leaders selected are not all political leaders but also high profile South Africans in positions of leadership

Overall, outgoing Public Protector Thuli Madonsela scored the highest rating out of ten.

In all three metros, other popular South African leaders were Minister of Finance Pravin Gordhan, DA leader Mmusi Maimane and chair of the African Union Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma.

Leaders who scored the lowest across all three metros were President Jacob Zuma and EFF leader Julius Malema.

This week&39;s poll also reviewed DA mayoral candidates, Athol Trollip (Nelson Mandela Bay), Herman Mashaba (Johannesburg) and Solly Msimanga (Tshwane).

With all eligible voters Trollip scored 6.3 out of 10 whereas with DA supporters specificially Msimanga scored the highest with 7.2 out of 10.

*Important points to consider about this poll:

The poll is conducted by the leading political pollsters, Ipsos, and is based on 1509 cellphone respondents across the three cities. Polling was done on Monday and Tuesday, so it is not clear what impact this week’s violence in Tshwane had on  the count – though this will be explicitly addressed in next week’s poll.

The poll will be conducted weekly until 3 August, voting day for the upcoming municipal elections.

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* Important points to consider about this poll:

The poll is conducted by leading political polling company, Ipsos and is based on just over 1500 cellphone respondents across the three cities. Polling is conducted on a Monday and Tuesday.

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